I discovered this great site a while ago (possibly via Tony). One of the features I like best is the graphs.
In the following I’ve aligned launch dates so you can compare relative console sales to one another:
Consider the current generation. Wii has a far steeper line than both 360 and PS3, suggesting far better sales – but will it be able to maintain that kind of curve for long? Sooner or later sales will slow and flatline.
It’s also interesting to look at Wii (steepest curve) PS2 (longest, most consistent sales) and PS3 (next big thing?) – it looks like the PS3 has managed to keep to the same kind of line the PS2 had around the same time of launch which is a good sign, and everything suggests that it’ll also have great longevity so Sony can actually be happy despite all the bad press they’ve received about it.
See if you can spot the bumps in the charts that happen once every 52 weeks or so. I guess that’s around Christmas.
I’m interested to see how long the Wii lasts. If it goes for several years without a radical change in the sales curve then it’s clearly going to be the winner (at least in terms of hardware units sold) of the current generation. The only way I see that it’ll lose this battle would be if it’s appeal is really short lived, and that’s only likely to come about if Microsoft incorporates a Wiimote-like controller into their next generation (which, judging by the product cycle of the XB shouldn’t be too far away – then again, the XB bombed hard whereas the 360 seems about on par with the PS2/3 so maybe they’ll hold off). Alternatively if Nintendo can pull some more innovation out of the bag in a few years time and release another cheap console then maybe they’d be able to reproduce the same kind of mass-appeal to stay ahead.
Interesting stuff, and a great website.